Each runner's recent history is assessed race by race — not just results, but patterns. Did they win against weaker opposition? Were they buried in traffic and never given a chance? Did they fade under pressure or hit the line with something left?

Track record at the specific venue matters. Rail position, track bias, surface rating (Firm/Good/Soft/Heavy) and weather forecast are all factored in. A horse with a 1:5 record at Flemington on a Good 4 is a different proposition to one that's only ever raced at Randwick on a soft track. We don't ignore the ground.

Stable form, gear changes, jockey bookings and trial patterns all reveal whether a yard is genuinely targeting a race or merely filling a spot. A top-shelf jockey booking on a lightly-raced stayer that's been trialling strongly is a signal we take seriously. Connections talk — we listen.

Over distance races are won and lost in the middle stages. We model likely pace scenarios — will it be a true staying test or a sprint from the 600m? Horses that can settle in the first half of the field without fighting the bridle hold a significant structural advantage. The barrier draw shapes this calculation entirely.

Is the horse stepping up, dropping back or running at its rightful level? Weight-for-age allowances, penalty assessments and market drift all feed into the final rating.

Only after all five factors converge does a horse receive a tip — and then it's graded A through D based on conviction. A-Bankers require alignment across every factor. D-Tips are horses where one or two indicators are compelling but risk remains. The tier tells you how strongly we back it. How you play it — win, each way, or exotics — is entirely your call.

Each runner's recent history is assessed race by race — not just results, but patterns. Did they win against weaker opposition? Were they buried in traffic and never given a chance? Did they fade under pressure or hit the line with something left?

Track record at the specific venue matters. Rail position, track bias, surface rating (Firm/Good/Soft/Heavy) and weather forecast are all factored in. A horse with a 1:5 record at Flemington on a Good 4 is a different proposition to one that's only ever raced at Randwick on a soft track. We don't ignore the ground.

Stable form, gear changes, jockey bookings and trial patterns all reveal whether a yard is genuinely targeting a race or merely filling a spot. A top-shelf jockey booking on a lightly-raced stayer that's been trialling strongly is a signal we take seriously. Connections talk — we listen.

Over distance races are won and lost in the middle stages. We model likely pace scenarios — will it be a true staying test or a sprint from the 600m? Horses that can settle in the first half of the field without fighting the bridle hold a significant structural advantage. The barrier draw shapes this calculation entirely.

Is the horse stepping up, dropping back or running at its rightful level? Weight-for-age allowances, penalty assessments and market drift all feed into the final rating.

Only after all five factors converge does a horse receive a tip — and then it's graded A through D based on conviction. A-Bankers require alignment across every factor. D-Tips are horses where one or two indicators are compelling but risk remains. The tier tells you how strongly we back it. How you play it — win, each way, or exotics — is entirely your call.